. >> we go from jon huntsman to tim pawlenty, a very nice guy, successful minnesota governor. yet the iowa poll that came out suggests tim pawlenty is in big trouble. >> he can't great through. he's on the sunday shows, making speeches at cfr, but he hovers around the 9% margin. if he doesn't make a move quickly, he better watch it. >> a cautionary note on pawlenty. he's been in iowa working for i don't know how long. he's got to be organized for the iowa straw polls in august. i think he's got to outperform whatever present number he has. michele bachmann has been in there three weeks. you have to organize the state and the community. he's probably been in all 99 counties. he might have a surprise showing in the iowa aim straw poll. unless he does, he's in, what was it, deep doo-doo. >> one way to look at it. >> do we arrive at a point where republican candidates -- >> that's the big question. to what degree is this base going to go with anybody but barack? i think romney will prove that out. the race is so unsettled at this point. there are so many variables. we haven't talk